So Carolina
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 77.4030Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 H Va Tech ACC ( 2-10, 71.0) 24-11 906 H So Car St 38-10 913 H Vanderbilt SEC (10- 3, 88.7) 7-31 920 A Missouri SEC ( 8- 5, 84.0) 20-29 927 H Kentucky SEC ( 5- 7, 78.7) 35-13 1011 A LSU SEC ( 7- 6, 82.8) 10-20 1018 H Oklahoma SEC (10- 3, 87.3) 7-26 1025 H Alabama SEC (11- 4, 89.4) 22-29 1101 A Ole Miss SEC (13- 2, 89.5) 14-30 1115 A Texas A&M SEC (11- 1, 90.4) 30-31 1122 H Coastal Car SUN ( 6- 8, 71.4) 51- 7 1129 H Clemson ACC ( 7- 6, 79.3) 14-28
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
831 H Va Tech 24-11 13 12 1.34
913 H Vanderbilt 7-31 -24 -6 --- -7.97
920 A Missouri 20-29 -9 -12 + 2.85
927 H Kentucky 35-13 22 4 +++ 10.05
1011 A LSU 10-20 -10 -11 0.63
1018 H Oklahoma 7-26 -19 -5 --- -9.32
1025 H Alabama 22-29 -7 -7 -0.27
1101 A Ole Miss 14-30 -16 -17 0.00
1115 A Texas A&M 30-31 -1 -18 +++ 13.00
1122 H Coastal Car 51- 7 44 11 + 2.74
1129 H Clemson 14-28 -14 3 --- -17.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 H Vanderbilt 7-31 -24 -6 --- -7.97 1018 H Oklahoma 7-26 -19 -5 --- -9.32 1129 H Clemson 14-28 -14 3 --- -17.36 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 H Kentucky 35-13 22 4 +++ 10.05 1115 A Texas A&M 30-31 -1 -18 +++ 13.00 920 A Missouri 20-29 -9 -12 + 2.85 1122 H Coastal Car 51- 7 44 11 + 2.74 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Va Tech ( 2-10, 71.0) 24-11 -28.90 22.32 -5.26 1.16 39.54
3 H Vanderbilt (10- 3, 88.7) 7-31 -11.21 40.01 -5.26 1.16 -9.54
3 A Missouri ( 8- 5, 84.0) 20-29 -15.90 35.32 5.26 1.16 -6.17
3 H Kentucky ( 5- 7, 78.7) 35-13 -21.19 30.03 -5.26 1.16 57.43
3 A LSU ( 7- 6, 82.8) 10-20 -17.13 34.09 5.26 1.16 -6.88
3 H Oklahoma (10- 3, 87.3) 7-26 -12.56 38.66 -5.26 1.16 -10.32
3 H Alabama (11- 4, 89.4) 22-29 -10.51 40.71 -5.26 1.16 -9.14
3 A Ole Miss (13- 2, 89.5) 14-30 -10.39 40.82 5.26 1.16 -2.98
3 A Texas A&M (11- 1, 90.4) 30-31 -9.45 41.77 5.26 1.16 -2.43
3 H Coastal Car ( 6- 8, 71.4) 51- 7 -28.49 22.72 -5.26 1.16 40.49
3 H Clemson ( 7- 6, 79.3) 14-28 -20.59 30.63 -5.26 1.16 -14.98
------
75.02
|
winning pts = 137.4617 losing points = -62.4425
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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